World Snow News 10
Welcome to another review of snow conditions with
prospects for the next seven days from www.snow-forecast.com.
A few smaller southern resorts
have already closed for the season. Tiffindell in South Africa closed on Sept 6th, and in New Zealand
  Hanmer Springs has also closed this week.
Temple Basin has abandoned the 2007 season
without even opening. In general though, even smaller and lower Australasian
resorts have deep enough bases to pretty much guarantee a few more good weeks.
In South America , I guess they will just close when they get bored of the sight of the white stuff. As if to remind us that the
Northern winter is nearly upon us, Hintertux in Austria received
55cm of new snow on Thursday and it is still snowing heavily over the Austrian Alps.
New Zealand
Last week we predicted that New Zealand
would see a warm NW winds give way to heavy snowfalls on Tuesday. I'm happy
to report that is exactly what happened. Better still, in the days before the
storm, our resort forecasts were for 20cm to 30cm of snow at resorts in the Canterbury High country and from the reports, it seems that this was about right
too.
Predicting snow depths right is notoriously difficult because the
same volume of water can translate into very different volumes of snow according
to the humidity and temperature - the ratio can be anything from about 4:1 for
wet snow to 30:1 for the cold and dry powder that falls in places like Utah and
the wind can be a huge factor too. Getting the depths even roughly right means
that you have to be right about the precipitation, temperature and humidity as
well. When snow showers are forecast, we don't even try.
Cold and clear
air followed chased the clouds North and this has resulted in some great
conditions in Canterbury and further south where the snow
fell a day or too earlier. In fact, these are probably the best conditions of
the season so far.
The week ahead in New Zealand begins fine and cold. A tropical
depression has once again formed around New Caledonia but it should stay east of East Cape as it dives SE. Apart from providing fresh snow at Ruapehu on Sunday
(with rain on the lower slopes), and the risk of heavy rain (yet again) further
north, it will have little effect at other ski fields. Cloud and patchy rain and
snow may extend as far south as Canterbury resorts on Monday, but that's all.
For resorts further south, staying mostly fine with just a few showers.
Watch out for a strengthening NW from Wednesday that will cover most of the
South Island by
Friday.
Australia
There have been dustings of snow at most Australian resorts over the last week. Spring
conditions are widespread with snow firm first thing and becoming heavy by
afternoon.
Right now, a strong high over the Tasman is directing moist
easterly air over the Australian resorts. It's generally overcast, and there is
drizzle on lower slopes and a few snow showers about the top. Pressure is
already falling over Western Australia and we
expect a depression to form in the Bight and move quickly east with an attendant
weather front reaching the Snowy Mountains on Monday. Ahead of the front,
freezing levels will remain about the tops and any snow will be confined to
peaks but as the front moves away snow showers should penetrate down to about
1600m. High pressure returns mid-week, but will only stay for 2 or 3 days so
make the most of the weather window and any fresh snow that falls from this
system.
The Alps
Last week, our forecast called for
an Atlantic anticyclone to move onto mainland Europe, pushing any cold and snowy
air over the Alps away to the east. Luckily for Austria , this has happened a bit
slower than we expected and the result has been an extra day or two of snowfall
on the glaciers. Air temperatures are about -4 at 3500m which means that snow is
falling down to about 2500m. High pressure is already well in control in the
UK, France and Switzerland and the snow should clear at last
from Austria during the weekend. This
presents an ideal opportunity to experience some great winter conditions in
September - head east and you will not be disappointed. There is deep fresh snow
in Hintertux, Dachstein Glacier and Kaprun. High pressure should dominate the Alps
over the next seven days, but watch out
for another snowy northerly blast to follow. Meanwhile, if you can't get to the
snow, you may be interested to know that a deepening and stationary mid Atlantic
low holds some promise to direct a small but clean long period swell towards the
beaches of Western Europe next week - for details visit our sister website
surf-forecast.com.
South America
With ski resorts strung along
half of the longest mountain chain on the planet, the Andes always presents a
difficult prospect for a brief editorial. Today is typically diverse - freezing
levels are at 700m in Cerro Castor at the South, 4000m at Los Penitentes in the
North but the relative altitude of resorts compensates for much of the
difference in latitude.
In what continues to be an exceptionally good
season for South America , you would be spoilt
for choice right now. For example, on Wednesday 150cm of new snow was reported
at Cerro Catedral in Argentina and there is the prospect
of further snow through the weekend. Mild enough for rain rather than snow to
fall at the resort elevation until it turns colder from Sunday. Chapelco
received 60cm of fresh snow too and once again there is more snow
forecast.
The weather pattern for the week ahead is especially complex as
a small depression crosses the region before high pressure builds over the tip
of the continent and directs cloudy easterly Atlantic at the Southern Andes for
the first time this season with most snowfall expected at places like La Hoya
and Las Lenas. Fairly mild temperatures right now will give way to colder air as
the low passes and a rare settled period in prospect for resorts in the deep
south.
The Snow-Forecast.com editorial team
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